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After all, how does COVID-19 continue to spread? - A simulation (Conclusions)

This post is the final chapter of my experiments with the simulation. Here I will point out the conclusions we can get from running each test. 

Again, please note that the simulation does not completely simulate the human and virus behaviour and it is based on known assumptions and probabilities. Therefore, some tests can have a different outcome from real life. However, we can infer some risky behaviours to avoid in our daily life.

Image created by Rawpixel Images. Submitted for United Nations Global Call Out To Creatives


Every health authorities states we should wear a mask, wash our hands or use alcohol gel, avoid crowded places, to be 2 meters apart from other people. Well, after running several tests in my simulation I can say they are completely right! If you do not trust them for some reason, please look to the results I got (here). 

We are now starting another spread. The vaccine against COVID-19 spread. I really hope it does not have any serious side effects. I believe it will do its work and nothing more. However, it will take some time before we vaccinate the majority of the world's population. And as we saw in my tests, even after vaccinating every single person of a population, as it is not 100% effective, we will still get more infected people. To avoid this, we must continue to wash our hands, keep the distance from other people, and avoid being in crowded areas. Every recommendation still needs to be fulfilled. It is easy for us to forget about our preventing behaviours as soon as the vaccine starts to be massively released. Please be aware that during the process of vaccinating everyone, and after 1 to 2 months after all people of the world being vaccinated, we will still have more cases and lose loved people. You should note I am stating after all and every single person of the world is vaccinated. I am afraid it will never happen. So, the virus will be between us for some years, maybe forever. 

However, the number of infected people will drop sharply thanks to the vaccine effect and the behaviours of each one. The vaccine itself is not enough!


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